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Joined 7 months ago
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Cake day: April 4th, 2026

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  • The Jevons paradox point is interesting. Maybe we’ll finally get better software products, so far it seems like everything is as buggy and slow as as ever.

    The bar to be a coder is being lowered, but actual software engineering with metrics, requirements, and deadlines will probably increase. I can easily see a world where everyone rushes into the AI to solve problems that used to not be cost effective and at the end of the first push (hopefully that’s around now) there’s a lot of new, untested code, and no metrics whether programmers were more efficient, and more importantly no metrics (I saw stats PhD) about whether the bottom line increased: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/02/ai-redefining-wall-street-jobs.html

    How would one measure the efficacy of two different AI generated trading regimes (or however it is they work up there) when the people who understood what they were asking can’t understand any of the code?










  • So what do we do next? I mean, in terms of things that might actually help?

    Become a society with strong critical thinking skills who values people based on reasoned takes based on experience and science over people who value rapid, loud appeals to emotion.

    One piece of that is recognizing that doing things like putting flat earthers up in high altitude planes or near space is a waste of resources that could’ve been spent doing something better.

    EDIT: that last paragraph was an incomplete thought. Individual flat earthers have done the whole scientific method thing, and proved themselves incorrect and stepped away from it. How do you handle the people that refuse to be convinced? If there’s no level evidence that a person will accept and they’re out in the forest commons chopping down trees to build a tower to whatever is on top of earth, how do you tolerate it at a societal level? It’s still an incomplete thought.




  • Personally, a single “bathroom pass” NFC card that a teacher hands out to any student in their class that needs a bathroom visit wouldn’t cause me much security consternation; that any student could be carrying the pass at any given time is enough anonymztion for my concerns. I’d be more concerned about germs; a group pass is going to get nasty.

    Add in a requirement that the scanners have to be connected to an airgapped system, and the system software ONLY reports/stores if a trip took more than X minutes, where X is some agreed upon time by teachers/parents/etc how long a trip should take, and I think that’s a a decent basis for a product that most school districts will completely ignore while they get wined/dined by someone who completely intends to sell the system at a loss and profit off the data collected.




  • Everybody else here captured the uncertainty in the world, but even without specifics you can still do a tabletop exercise without jumping all the way into a rabbit hole and see what you’d need to have to spend three days without being able to buy supplies. Most of those kind of lists just end up being things you’d need anyway: water, food, any prescriptions, some local currency if credit card machines are down, etc. Decide how much you think some event is likely and how much budget you have and react accordingly, or don’t. Take it as an opportunity to change out the batteries in any smoke dectectors or battery powered radios, maybe top off any power bricks you have for charging phones.

    If you decide to stock up on something there are a lot of resources out there already on what makes sense. If you decide not to stock up on anything then be aware that people might not be willing to share if something does happen; you had the same opportunity to prep and the same information that everyone else did.

    Most of my knowledge of UK preparedness is either from WWII documentaries or dubious sources: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kgwaOEg0Uqo